Baker Mayfield vs Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence holds a 39.4% edge in Superflex dynasty value.Updated 9/20/2026
THE CASE FOR MAYFIELD
Mayfield is coming off a strong TB run where the offense asked him to push the ball downfield and he delivered high-end weekly usable outcomes. His supporting cast and scheme stability give him a realistic path to near-term QB1/2 production at a much cheaper Superflex cost. If you’re chasing points over insulation, he’s the archetype of a value QB who can swing a title window.
THE CASE FOR LAWRENCE
Lawrence is 4.5 years younger with a much longer runway, and that age insulation is exactly what you’re paying for in dynasty Superflex. He still carries the profile of a long-term franchise starter with multiple seasons of top-12 upside if the offense/coaching stabilizes and efficiency rebounds. The market gap reflects safer multi-year security and liquidity even if his weekly ceiling hasn’t consistently hit yet.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
Take Mayfield if you can turn the savings into an extra starter and you’re prioritizing 2026 points over resale value.
Take Lawrence because his age, job security, and trade liquidity fit a longer timeline.
At a 38.5% premium for Lawrence, it’s only close if you expect Lawrence to return to clear QB1 scoring—otherwise Mayfield is the better points-per-cost play.
12% of champions
Baker Mayfield was on 838 championship rosters
13.2% of champions
Trevor Lawrence was on 920 championship rosters
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Worth more?
Lawrence is worth more in dynasty Superflex due to age and insulation, but Mayfield can be the better value for contenders.
Trade?
If you have Lawrence, only tier down to Mayfield if you’re also getting a meaningful add (e.g., a 1st or a strong weekly starter).
Superflex?
In Superflex, prioritize Lawrence for stability on rebuilds, but prioritize Mayfield when cost efficiency helps you build a deeper starting lineup.
RUN THIS TRADE YOURSELF
See exactly what Baker Mayfield and Trevor Lawrence are worth side-by-side in our Trade Calculator.
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RESEARCH & TOOLS
What Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.