Garrett Wilson vs Zay Flowers
Values are nearly even — within 5% of each other.Updated 9/21/2026
THE CASE FOR WILSON
Garrett Wilson has already shown he can command true alpha volume and win at all three levels, giving him a higher weekly ceiling when his QB play is even average. His profile is the cleaner bet for sustained WR1 usage because his target-earning is bankable regardless of scheme. The current 8.6% market gap is justified if you’re prioritizing top-end upside and insulation against role volatility.
THE CASE FOR FLOWERS
Zay Flowers is tied to a stable, efficient offense with a top QB, which can translate to better scoring efficiency and more spike weeks on fewer targets. His skill set fits Baltimore’s YAC/space game and he can be a primary option without needing 160 targets to matter. At a cheaper cost, he offers strong value-per-point potential, especially if the Ravens’ pass volume ticks up or he consolidates red-zone usage.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
Wilson for ceiling if you can absorb QB variance; Flowers if you want steadier efficiency at a discount and need to keep assets flexible.
Wilson is the preferred cornerstone because elite target-earning typically wins long-term dynasty outcomes and holds value through uncertainty.
The 8.6% gap is about right—pay up for Wilson only if you’re explicitly buying elite-volume upside, otherwise Flowers is the better price.
Garrett Wilson — outside top 50 champion players
11% of champions
Zay Flowers was on 764 championship rosters
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Worth more?
Garrett Wilson is worth more, but not by a full tier—think a modest add (late 2nd-ish value) rather than a premium 1st.
Trade?
If moving Wilson, ask for Flowers plus a meaningful sweetener; if moving Flowers, try to add a small piece to upgrade to Wilson rather than a 1st.
Superflex?
In SF the relative WR gap usually compresses versus QB values, so don’t overpay—Wilson > Flowers still, but keep the add-on modest.
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RESEARCH & TOOLS
What Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.