Josh Downs vs Michael Wilson
Values are nearly even — within 5% of each other.Updated 9/23/2026
THE CASE FOR DOWNS
Michael Wilson has a slight value edge and is poised for a larger role in Arizona’s offense. He flashed efficiency as a rookie and has the size to command red zone targets. With Kyler Murray healthy, Wilson could see a bump in targets and touchdowns. At 26.5, he’s older, but his path to relevance is clear if he stays healthy.
THE CASE FOR WILSON
Josh Downs is younger and showed impressive route separation as a rookie. He projects as the Colts’ top slot receiver, giving him a steady PPR floor. His chemistry with Anthony Richardson should only improve. Downs’ youth and skill set make him a safe stash for rebuilding rosters.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
Wilson offers more immediate upside for contenders with his touchdown potential and defined role.
Downs is the better long-term asset for rebuilding teams thanks to his age and projected stability.
The value gap is minimal—pick based on your team’s timeline and roster needs.
Josh Downs — outside top 50 champion players
10.9% of champions
Michael Wilson was on 758 championship rosters
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Is Michael Wilson worth more than Josh Downs?
Yes, but only by a narrow margin in most dynasty formats.
Should I trade Michael Wilson for Josh Downs?
Only if you’re rebuilding or seeking youth and long-term upside.
Who is better in Superflex?
Neither sees a major bump in Superflex, but Wilson’s immediate role gives him a slight edge.
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See exactly what Josh Downs and Michael Wilson are worth side-by-side in our Trade Calculator.
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RESEARCH & TOOLS
What Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.
