Sam Darnold vs Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence holds a 54.8% edge in Superflex dynasty value.Updated 9/17/2026
THE CASE FOR DARNOLD
Darnold is the cheaper path to usable QB2 weeks in superflex, and that price gap can be turned into a starting WR/RB or future 1st. If he holds the SEA job, he has enough arm talent to deliver spike games and stabilize a contender’s second QB slot. At SF 2,882, he’s a classic value bet where even modest job security creates strong ROI relative to cost.
THE CASE FOR LAWRENCE
Lawrence is the clear long-term asset: younger, entrenched as a franchise starter, and insulated from short-term volatility that sinks cheaper QBs. His ceiling is still QB1-tier if the offense/coaching clicks, and even “middling” seasons keep his dynasty value buoyant. At SF 5,142, you’re buying multi-year stability plus upside rather than praying for a job to last.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
If you’re pushing chips in and already have a stable QB1, Darnold plus the ~44% value savings you can redeploy is often the better roster-building play.
Lawrence is the easy choice for a rebuild because he’s the far safer multi-year starter with stronger value retention.
Not close—Lawrence is worth materially more, but Darnold can be the sharper buy if you’re optimizing points per dollar on a contender.
Sam Darnold — outside top 50 champion players
13.2% of champions
Trevor Lawrence was on 920 championship rosters
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Worth more?
Trevor Lawrence is worth more by a wide margin in dynasty (and the 44% gap you cited is directionally correct).
Trade?
If moving Lawrence, target Darnold plus a 1st (or equivalent young starter); if buying Lawrence, be prepared to pay a 1st-plus on top of Darnold-level value.
Superflex?
In superflex, prioritize Lawrence for longevity, but Darnold is a viable budget QB2 for contenders if the savings upgrades another starting spot.
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See exactly what Sam Darnold and Trevor Lawrence are worth side-by-side in our Trade Calculator.
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RESEARCH & TOOLS
What Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.