Trevor Lawrence vs Tyler Shough
Trevor Lawrence holds a 15.9% edge in Superflex dynasty value.Updated 10/2/2026
THE CASE FOR LAWRENCE
Lawrence is a locked-in long-term starter with proven NFL-level passing volume and rushing floor, which is what you pay for in Superflex. Jacksonville has continued to build around him, and even in down stretches his job security and weekly ceiling remain intact. The 32.2% market premium is justified because he’s an asset you can start for years without needing a “what if” to break right.
THE CASE FOR SHOUGH
Shough is a bet on opportunity and a short-term window: if he’s starting for New Orleans, his price is light for any QB with a job in Superflex. He’s cheap enough that you can take the swing without crippling your roster, and any stretch of competent starts would likely spike his value. If the Saints’ situation breaks right, he can function as a usable QB2/spot starter at a fraction of Lawrence’s cost.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
Take Lawrence—bankable weekly starts and insulation matter more than squeezing value on a contending roster.
Prefer Lawrence if you’re building around stable cornerstone QBs; take Shough only if you’re intentionally hunting cheap upside and liquidity.
Not close at this gap unless you’re specifically exploiting Shough’s low cost as a speculative QB2/3 play.
13.2% of champions
Trevor Lawrence was on 920 championship rosters
Tyler Shough — outside top 50 champion players
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Worth more?
Trevor Lawrence is worth more by a wide margin because long-term starting security in Superflex is the scarcest currency.
Trade?
If you have Lawrence, don’t pivot to Shough unless you’re getting meaningful additional assets on top.
Superflex?
In Superflex, prioritize Lawrence’s multi-year QB1/2 stability; Shough is only a low-cost roster bet tied to starting opportunity.
RUN THIS TRADE YOURSELF
See exactly what Trevor Lawrence and Tyler Shough are worth side-by-side in our Trade Calculator.
OPEN TRADE CALCULATORRELATED COMPARISONS
RESEARCH & TOOLS
What Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.
