Values are nearly even — within 5% of each other.Updated 9/19/2026
Mayfield is the clearer 2026 starter with a stronger recent production profile and a team built to keep him in QB1/2 scoring range right now. Tampa’s supporting cast and organizational stability give him a higher weekly floor for contenders than most mid-QB2 dynasty assets. Even at 31.3, that near-term bankable output can be worth paying the 18.3% premium if you’re chasing points in the next 1–2 seasons.
Young is 6.3 years younger and still has a path to materially increasing his dynasty value if he stabilizes as a long-term starter. In a rebuild, the age/arc matters: one strong year can flip him from a discounted QB2 to a more insulated multi-year asset. At a lower SF cost, he’s the better bet for value appreciation if you can tolerate volatility and risk of replacement.
Take Baker Mayfield—paying the 18.3% gap is justified for the higher confidence points and role security this season.
Take Bryce Young—his age and potential value rebound fit a longer window better than buying Mayfield’s aging curve.
Slight lean Baker in a vacuum for win-now, but if your roster isn’t clearly contending, Young is the better portfolio play at the cheaper tag.
12% of champions
Baker Mayfield was on 838 championship rosters
Bryce Young — outside top 50 champion players
Worth more?
Mayfield is worth more for contenders; Young can be worth more in rebuilds if you’re betting on a multi-year starting leap.
Trade?
If you roster Mayfield and aren’t a top-3 contender, moving him for Young plus a small add is a clean retool move.
Superflex?
In SF, prioritize the QB who will start and score now (Mayfield) unless your timeline is 2+ years, where Young’s upside/age makes more sense.
See exactly what Baker Mayfield and Bryce Young are worth side-by-side in our Trade Calculator.
OPEN TRADE CALCULATORWhat Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.