Baker Mayfield vs Jared Goff
Values are nearly even — within 5% of each other.Updated 9/18/2026
THE CASE FOR MAYFIELD
Mayfield is the cheaper bet (7.9% below Goff) to get similar QB1/2 production in Superflex, giving you value insulation if both remain mid-range starters. Tampa’s pass-catcher core is strong enough to sustain weekly spike games, and his willingness to push the ball can create higher-variance, matchup-winning weeks. If you’re managing cost while still needing a startable QB2, Baker is the better points-per-market-dollar play.
THE CASE FOR GOFF
Goff is tied to an elite offensive environment in Detroit with a strong line, quality weapons, and a scheme that consistently generates efficient volume. His role is stable and bankable for contenders because the Lions profile as a high-scoring team that supports steady weekly QB2-to-low QB1 output. Paying the 7.9% premium buys more predictability and a cleaner path to multi-year usability in a good ecosystem.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
Goff for stability and floor in a top offense, unless you need the discount to upgrade another starter—then take Baker plus value.
Take Baker at the lower cost and treat him as a liquid asset; only take Goff if you’re confident you’ll hold through your competitive window.
It’s close enough that roster build decides: Goff for safety, Baker for value and flexibility.
12% of champions
Baker Mayfield was on 838 championship rosters
Jared Goff — outside top 50 champion players
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Worth more?
Jared Goff is worth more by market (3,435 vs 3,163), but the gap isn’t big enough to override team-fit.
Trade?
If you’re moving off Goff, ask for a small plus on top of Baker (a mid 2nd-ish equivalent); if you’re buying, try to pay Baker+small to get Goff.
Superflex?
In Superflex, lean Goff for weekly reliability, but Baker is the better value if you’re scraping for a startable QB2 at a discount.
RUN THIS TRADE YOURSELF
See exactly what Baker Mayfield and Jared Goff are worth side-by-side in our Trade Calculator.
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RESEARCH & TOOLS
What Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.