Baker Mayfield vs Michael Penix
Baker Mayfield holds a 20.6% edge in Superflex dynasty value.Updated 10/2/2026
THE CASE FOR MAYFIELD
Mayfield is the clear 2024+ starter with proven top-12 fantasy seasons and a stable weekly floor when the volume is there. At 31.3, he’s still within the typical QB production window, and his role security is far stronger than most similarly priced options. In Superflex, bankable starting-QB points are hard to replace, and that certainty justifies the 46.9% value edge.
THE CASE FOR PENIX
Penix is the upside bet: younger than Mayfield by about five years with the profile to become a multi-year starter if he wins/earns the job in Atlanta. His value can spike quickly the moment his path to starts clears, making him attractive for teams that can wait. At SF 1,681, he’s priced as a stash with asymmetric payoff if he becomes a long-term QB1/2.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
Mayfield—take the locked-in starter points and don’t pay for uncertainty when you’re trying to win now.
Penix—if you’re not scoring points this year, the age and potential value growth outweigh Mayfield’s short-term utility.
Lean Mayfield unless you’re confident you can wait 12–24 months for Penix to materially increase in value via a clear starting runway.
12% of champions
Baker Mayfield was on 838 championship rosters
Michael Penix — outside top 50 champion players
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Worth more?
Mayfield is worth more today by a wide margin because he’s a weekly starting QB while Penix is still a projection for starts.
Trade?
If you’re trading Mayfield for Penix, you should be getting meaningful plus value on top (e.g., a 2nd or a solid young flex piece) to offset the start-security gap.
Superflex?
In Superflex, prioritize Mayfield for contenders and only prioritize Penix if you’re rebuilding and can absorb zero/limited starts in the near term.
RUN THIS TRADE YOURSELF
See exactly what Baker Mayfield and Michael Penix are worth side-by-side in our Trade Calculator.
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RESEARCH & TOOLS
What Championship Rosters Have in Common
78.4% had a top-10 RB. The real champion profile from 9,983 rosters.
Stars vs Depth
Champions held 38.3% of value in 3 players. Concentrate, don't spread.
Who Wins Lopsided Trades?
The value "loser" wins titles more often. Don't fear the overpay.
Championship DNA Players
Bijan 23%, Puka 19.3%. The players who keep showing up on title teams.
