Daniel Jones vs Sam Darnold
Sam Darnold holds a 7.8% edge in Superflex dynasty value.Updated 9/17/2026
THE CASE FOR JONES
Jones’ rushing gives him a cleaner weekly floor than Darnold when he’s starting, and that matters in Superflex. If he wins/keeps the job in IND, he can produce usable QB2 weeks without needing elite passing volume. At a ~14% discount, he’s the cheaper bet to spike value if injuries or instability create a long starting runway.
THE CASE FOR DARNOLD
Darnold has the clearer path to stable starts in SEA and the higher probability of holding QB2 value for the next 1–2 seasons. His best outcomes are tied to adequate pass-catching and volume, giving him more straightforward 18–22 point weeks when the offense is functional. Paying the 14% premium buys you fewer “job security” headaches and a better chance of banking startable weeks immediately.
VERDICT BY TEAM SITUATION
Darnold for contenders: higher likelihood of dependable starts at a modest premium.
Jones for rebuilders: take the discount and chase a scenario where he secures a starting role and you flip for profit.
It’s close because both are fragile long-term bets at the same age; the decision is mostly about start-probability (Darnold) vs cheaper ceiling via rushing and volatility (Jones).
FREQUENTLY ASKED
Worth more?
Sam Darnold is worth more right now due to the stronger expectation of near-term starting stability.
Trade?
If you can move Jones + a small sweetener to get Darnold for a contender, do it; if you’re rebuilding, take Jones plus the add and keep flexibility.
Superflex?
In Superflex, prioritize the one with the clearer starting path (Darnold), but Jones is a fine value if you’re pricing in his rushing and accepting volatility.
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